Weekly Briefing: Trump’s Tariffs, Bitcoin’s Breakthrough, Manufacturing Surge & EIS/VCT Shifts
This week’s briefing features various economic events that will be beneficial to the knowledge of investors. From global events such as Trump's tariffs and Bitcoin milestones to demand for VCT/EIS updates and recent manufacturing data.
Keep reading for more in-depth insight.
Trump places 30% tariff on imported goods from the EU
President Trump has announced his 30% tariff upon a wide range of goods coming in from the EU starting on August 1st. He believes that the US trade deficit is a threat to national security.
Clearly unhappy with his relationship with the EU, Mr Trump wrote in his letter “Our relationship has been, unfortunately, far from reciprocal”. However, EU Commission president Ursula von der Leyen wants to try to resolve this dispute.
The planned retaliatory tariff on the US by the EU has currently been delayed as Ursula von der Leyen believes a “negotiated solution with the US” would be a more suitable answer.
The EU tariff will have a huge impact upon transatlantic trade. Maroš Šefčovič, the EU trade commissioner, stated it would be “almost impossible to continue”. This effect would be felt by companies not only in the US but also in the EU where they may suffer from the reduced transatlantic demand.
On the more positive side, reduced trade between the EU and the US could help to reverse post-Brexit trends and strengthen ties between the UK and various EU nations.
Bitcoin achieves $120k milestone on support policy
For the first time, Bitcoin has exceeded the $120,000 mark. It is currently up more than 27% on the year, after rising more than 3% on Monday morning to break the $120,000 level.
Market analysts have suggested that the surge in price was caused by Trump’s delay of the “liberation day” trade. However, warnings of tariffs elsewhere on 1 August could put pressure on cryptocurrency in the future.
As well as this, other events such as the Genius Act will be reviewed this week as part of the “anti-crypto corruption week”.
With President Trump's cryptocurrency reserve back in March, it has slowly incentivised institutional investors to purchase the likes of Bitcoin as the digital tokens gain legitimacy. This is also a potential cause of the new record-high price.
Due to Bitcoin being highly volatile, no one really knows the next route it may take. Many believe it could reach the $130,000 mark in the near future, after a short retracement.
Chancellor urged to make adjustments to EIS and VCTs
In a recent speech to City leaders, Chancellor Rachel Reeves called for a reduction in regulatory red tape to help boost domestic investment. However, industry experts have pointed out a key omission: no mention of reforming or improving the Enterprise Investment Scheme (EIS), Seed EIS (SEIS), or Venture Capital Trusts (VCTs)—long-standing tools for backing early-stage businesses.
Mark Cunningham of Blick Rothenberg said that while retail investment tends to flow toward large, listed firms, often understandable given lower risk, it leaves smaller, high-growth UK companies with less funding. He described Reeves' silence on EIS and VCT reform as a “missed opportunity,” and suggested that increasing company and investor caps, loosening sector restrictions, and improving liquidity could help unlock more early-stage capital.
Richard Stone, CEO of the Association of Investment Companies (AIC), stressed the importance of streamlining VCT rules to allow them to support a broader range of innovative businesses. He said VCTs already fund companies that struggle to secure development capital and argued that reforms could expand their impact without additional cost to the Treasury.
The AIC has submitted detailed proposals to this effect and urged Reeves to include them in her next financial statement. On a similar note, the Venture Capital Trust Association (VCTA) released a policy paper on July 14, calling for higher investment limits and an extension of qualifying age limits for businesses.
VCTA chair Chris Lewis reinforced the message, saying VCTs have consistently backed ambitious UK entrepreneurs. But to remain as effective, the scheme must continually evolve. “These reforms will unlock capital for the UK’s most promising businesses... ensuring the benefits of their success are felt here at home,” he said.
UK manufacturing sees a significant rise across all regions
A new report reveals that manufacturing output across all English regions and devolved nations has surpassed 2019 levels for the first time, with the South West leading at 27% above pre-pandemic levels. The East of England and North West followed, with growth of 21% and 20%, respectively.
This growth, particularly in the South West and North West, is driven by the aerospace and defence sectors, which have benefited from increased airline orders and higher defence spending across Europe. The North West also saw a recovery in automotive production after the pandemic's impact.
Fhaheen Khan from Make UK noted that while the recovery varies by region, the post-COVID slump appears to be over. However, she warned of growing regional disparities in investment and growth, urging the Government to ensure more balanced development plans.
Richard Austin from BDO praised the resilience, highlighting how manufacturing bounced back despite pandemic challenges. He emphasised that continued investment in innovation, design, and skills is crucial to maintaining the UK's global manufacturing position.
Final notes
From Trump’s tariffs to Bitcoin’s record highs, an increasingly fragile UK economy, and a rebound in manufacturing, this week’s events highlight just how tightly global markets are connected. As US-EU trade tensions escalate, the UK may find new opportunities to strengthen ties with European neighbours in the aftermath of Brexit.
Bitcoin breaking past $120,000 reflects how sharply markets can respond to political signals. While it fuels optimism among crypto investors, it also reminds us how vulnerable digital assets are to geopolitical shifts. Institutional interest is growing — but so is regulatory scrutiny.
Meanwhile, Rachel Reeves’ push to spark UK growth is under mounting pressure. The absence of EIS and VCT reform in her latest speech has not gone unnoticed. These schemes have the potential to supercharge early-stage innovation — but only if the government removes the brakes.
In such a fast-moving environment, investors need to stay one step ahead. Be ready for next week’s briefing.